Go to the dark places

‘Run towards the defeat,’ was Jon Cruddas’ advice to candidates for the leadership in his post-election interview with Radio 4. ‘Go to the dark places’, he encouraged them.

With a shock so bad – a loss to a Conservative party that did not deserve to be in contention – there is a collective grieving process taking place in the Labour party. With grief there are stages – some people deal with them in a logical and paced order. Others linger in certain stages, especially denial.

The denial comes in two forms, and both currently reside disproportionately in the parliamentary Labour party.

First, there is a significant group in the PLP who have failed to notice that the outcome of the election is that they do not have enough colleagues to abolish the bedroom tax and have focused instead on the fact that they now have someone in second place in their seats, in the form of the United Kingdom Independence party. That party might even deliver leaflets between elections.

This is not uncharted territory for Labour. Under the last Labour government it was the Liberal Democrats who used a combination of populist and leftist appeal to undermine Labour in its northern citadels. In 2002 the insurgent party took control of a flagship council as it leapt from 10 to 29 councillors in Hull, John Prescott’s backyard. While Ukip is a significantly different beast, good organisation and hard work remain the best way to root this equally populist party out of Labour’s heartlands.

The second group in the PLP comprises those arguing down the size and nature of the defeat. Almost all in this group want to just move on – quickly. They see any talk of the election as naysaying and failing to give necessary credit to those who held on. It is as if they resent those picking at the scab of the election.

The membership at large, in direct contrast, see the election result as an open wound where the poison still needs to be drawn before it can be dressed and heal. They, who campaigned day in, day out, need no reminder that in an election where Labour targeted 88 Tory members of parliament in England and Wales the party actually lost eight Labour-held seats, gained 10 and only reduced the Conservative majority in a further 10. Party members who slogged their guts out at the election, and those who thought they would not have to because the Tories were as bad as they had been told, now see the party on the operating table.

Members are shocked it was able to get this bad and are aghast that they were taken in by the idea that: messages that resonated with many in the party were working with the electorate; the centre-ground might have moved; that you would win a country without any media support or business and employer endorsement. They saw the exit poll and realised that the political centre of gravity was further away from Labour than was ever imagined.

Reminding people of the defeat is no counsel of despair. It is the constant reminder of how the party felt when it saw Nuneaton was not just lost but had drifted further away, that makes members want to get even. It is the reality of people locked into low pay, foodbanks and zero-hours contracts that makes members know we have to help those with ‘first world problems’ – paying a mortgage, getting their kids to university or pulling the money together to start a new business – in order to be able to change the mandate of the Low Pay Commission or legislate for a living wage. And they know there is no alternative to winning than going to the people who voted Tory last time. Had every single person who voted for the Scottish National party or the Green party voted Labour, the party would still be short of the 11.3 million votes the Conservatives received. Even Fabian Society analysis shows that four out of five votes needed to win in 2020 must come from those who voted Tory in 2015.

For those who find this unpalatable, here is the key.

First, Conservatives appear to adopt an exactly opposite approach to Labour when it comes to winning over those who vote for their main foe; they are delighted when they convert a Labour supporter into a vote for them. On the other hand, within Labour circles the prospect of persuading those who have voted Tory sometimes seems to provoke a response of distaste rather than enthusiasm. This attitude must cease. The thousands of people who opened their doors to Labour activists this year but who eventually chose the Conservatives are not bad people. If Labour did not win their trust, the fault is Labour’s alone.

Moreover, those who did vote Tory are not necessarily ‘Tory voters’. Many wanted to vote Labour but felt unable to because they did not trust Labour with their money, nor to deal effectively with the huge range of things the next five years could throw at Britain. Therefore how the new leader plays their first three months – starting with their first speech as Labour leader at TUC Congress just days after they are elected – will determine if those who reluctantly voted Tory might do so again. Attitudes form early and set quickly. Any sense that the new leader did not hear the message of the voters risks hardening the attitude of Tory switchers, rather than bringing them round.

In his valedictory speech after stepping down as leader of Scottish Labour Jim Murphy said, ‘The first rule of politics is the voters are never wrong in a democratic society’. The party members know this to be true. They are prepared to run – as Cruddas asked – into the dark places. The question is: will the MPs be with them?

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Photo: Christiane Wilke

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Comments: 13...

  1. On June 30, 2015 at 5:59 pm Norfolk29 responded with... #

    Glad you were so positive as not to mention the numerous failures of the Labour leadership. However, many of those who gave their time and energy for Labour will not be so positive when faced with the four current contenders to replace Miliband. The two favourites were there, may even have been on the committee that allowed the headstone to progress through 10 meeting and be launched to the groans of the majority of the supporters. May even have approved the manifesto that ignored the aspirations of the majority of voters needed to implement it. It is no use electing a leader if they cannot lead, and none of the four candidates do that for me.

  2. On July 1, 2015 at 9:09 am IAS2011 responded with... #

    How extraordinary, as I have always said that politicians and the media need to “go into the heart of communities” in order to full understand how deep the failings, challenges and aspirations are for people. I would suggest that “go to the dark places” actually reflects what I have always said.

    However, isn’t it also a disconnected TV and media portal that is failing this fundamental content… and, thus, failing to captivate the real voices that remain desperate to “get back on their feet” and achieve goals amid a range of detrimental impacts… such as a recession?? Isn’t it the powerful media who we expect and hope will hold politicians and policy makers to account?

    Maybe the question is “what are they all afraid of?” THE TRUTH?

  3. On July 1, 2015 at 9:41 am robertcp responded with... #

    It is obvious that Labour needs votes from people that voted Conservative in 2015 but it also obvious that Labour needs to offer something different to the Conservatives. This article does not say what policies should change and is a mixture of straw men and the totally obvious.

    • On July 1, 2015 at 4:15 pm WhiteVanMan responded with... #

      It’s more about ,seeing if those who vote conservative, actually ,may want to vote for a labour message they agree with.

      • On July 1, 2015 at 9:04 pm robertcp responded with... #

        So what do they agree or disagree with?

        • On July 2, 2015 at 2:45 pm WhiteVanMan responded with... #

          Law and order, defense, Education, europe,listening the deputy leadership debate, Ben Bradshaw and atom Watson both said there was view that the swing voters actually agreed with us, b ur we were so far behind on competence,and the economy

          • On July 2, 2015 at 8:58 pm robertcp responded with... #

            You have not said what policies that they agree or disagree with.

          • On July 4, 2015 at 4:09 pm WhiteVanMan responded with... #

            The Cameron gov’t have. Brought in savage cuts to these areas, which,most one nation Tories would disagree with, and labour wouldn’t hav e cut

          • On July 4, 2015 at 11:37 pm robertcp responded with... #

            I give up! You are not going to tell me which policies Labour should change.

          • On July 5, 2015 at 7:03 am WhiteVanMan responded with... #

            Sorry didn’t understand, I meant that labour should change, our policy of over spending so we can get ex Tieies who agree with us more in policies, that the Tories are getting votes in,but not doing a very good job on, like Defence law and order

          • On July 5, 2015 at 9:41 am robertcp responded with... #

            Thanks.

  4. On July 3, 2015 at 10:22 am Forlornehope responded with... #

    Dismissing the Conservative party as “did not deserve to be in contention” is exactly the kind of thinking that will consign the Labour party to oblivion. Several million of your fellow citizens not only thought that it should be in contention but that it was the better choice. Your position can only mean that you are categorising them all as idiots who were taken in. If you ever want to win an election again you need to start thinking about the positive features of the other side that appeal to the voters. If you find that you cannot think of any then, to put it bluntly, you are stuffed.

  5. On July 25, 2015 at 10:21 pm D1ss1dent responded with... #

    It is now almost three months since the election but Labour is now in its worst position since 1983. Nobody dared stand up to Brown when he was a hopeless leader and nobody questioned Mikiband. This is the result, a dead party.

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