Incumbency matters

Peter Kellner  |  27 November 2014

The ‘sophomore surge’ could stymie Labour’s path back to power, warns Peter Kellner At the time few people noticed something odd about Labour’s second landslide in 2001. Nationally, there was a two per cent swing from Labour to the Conservatives. The Tories should have gained 17 seats that Labour had won in 1997. In fact …

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