The long haul is just starting

Charlie Samuda  |  2 February 2016

The morning after the 2008 Iowa caucus, Hillary Clinton held a painfully awkward conference call with her campaign team. Having just lost badly to Barack Obama in the race for the Democratic nomination she asked each of her advisers what the next step was, only to be greeted with stony silence. Imagine how awkward that …

0 Comments Read more

Comeback Hill

Robert Philpot  |  29 January 2016

Hillary Clinton may yet show that precedents are there to be broken, writes Robert Philpot It was once an apparently iron law of American politics that you could not make it to the White House without first winning the New Hampshire primary. Not everybody who managed to persuade the voters of this small north-eastern state to …

1 Comment Read more

Winning without bouncing

Joel Braunold  |  7 March 2012

As the dust settles from Super Tuesday, there was a clear delegate winner on the night. Mitt Romney took the lines share of delegates on offer with five clear victories and a single point win in Ohio. He now stands 200 delegates above his nearest rival, Rick Santorum. Though there are still delegate-rich races to …

1 Comment Read more

A chance to break tradition in Iowa

Joel Braunold  |  4 January 2012

By a mere eight votes Mitt Romney may be the first Republican presidential candidate to win both Iowa and New Hampshire. This is, of course, if he can stop Newt’s kamikaze mission to implode his candidacy. In a night that was decided by eight votes, Rick Santorum surge came at the exactly right time to …

1 Comment Read more

Who will face Obama? Lessons from history

Andrew Hammond  |  3 January 2012

The 2012 US election season begins on January 3 when Iowa becomes the first state to hold contests to decide who will be the Democratic and Republican presidential candidates in November. While Barack Obama will be renominated as the Democratic contender, the Republican race’s outcome is more uncertain. Most recently, in November and early December, …

1 Comment Read more

Resistable force V moveable object

Frank Spring  |  20 December 2011

The GOP primary next month may not feature the classic campaign conflict of momentum versus organisation – indeed, it could well descend into a case of inertia versus disorganisation. Organisation and momentum are not mutually exclusive, of course; in tandem, they are incredibly powerful (witness Obama 2008). Some campaigns never have much of either (wave …

2 Comments Read more

Will they back Bachmann?

Frank Spring  |  21 June 2011

Frank Spring looks over the current Republican frontrunners - can Bachmann capitalise on an early success? Will the party stick with the solid Romney as the only candidate who can beat Obama? Who else might join the race?

0 Comments Read more